Decisions & Judgment

A free decision memo template, a before-and-after example, and the No-Surprise Rule: how to get a yes from a busy approver on the first read.

Short answer: A pre-mortem is a short meeting held before a project starts. The team imagines the project has already

Survivorship bias means learning only from the winners. How it shows up in deals, projects and hiring, the acquisition mistake I made, and 5 checks before you copy a success story.

Satisficing means stopping at the first option that is good enough. Why that often beats chasing the perfect choice at work, and the rules I use to decide at 30–40% information.